Market
Outcome of Turkey's operation in Qamishli by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
PKK/YPG significantly weakened • 25%
PKK/YPG maintains current strength • 25%
PKK/YPG regains strength • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Turkey's MIT Destroys 12 Trucks, 2 Tanks, and 2 Ammunition Depots of PKK/YPG in Qamishli, Syria
Dec 10, 2024, 03:49 PM
Turkey's National Intelligence Organization (MIT) conducted a targeted operation in Qamishli, Syria, destroying 12 trucks, two tanks, and two ammunition depots loaded with missiles, heavy weapons, and ammunition. These assets were reportedly seized by the PKK/YPG terrorists from the Assad regime. The operation was aimed at thwarting the transfer of these weapons, which the PKK/YPG had begun moving from the region after the fall of Assad's regime.
View original story
Similar markets
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
SDF regains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Significant PKK/YPG losses • 25%
Minor PKK/YPG losses • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Withdrawal from contested areas • 25%
Minor skirmishes, no significant change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued military conflict • 25%