Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's preventive measures against PKK/YPG by December 31, 2025?
2
Tayyip Erdogan•US•Antony Blinken•Esenboğa Airport•Ankara•Syria•Erdogan•Turkey•ISIS•PKK•Blinken•Turkish•American•Syrian•Hakan Fidan•Fidan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official government announcements or reports from international observers
Story
Erdogan Meets Blinken in Ankara, Vows Preventive Measures Against PKK/YPG, Agrees on Non-Sectarian Syrian Government
Dec 13, 2024, 08:20 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan met with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken at Esenboğa Airport in Ankara to discuss the situation in Syria. Erdogan conveyed clear messages regarding Syria, emphasizing Turkey's priority of achieving stability and peace by eliminating terrorist organizations such as PKK/YPG and ISIS. He stated that Turkey would not allow PKK and its extensions to exploit the situation on the ground and that preventive measures will be taken against these groups. Blinken and Erdogan discussed the potential Turkish and American roles in the future of Syria and agreed on the need for a non-sectarian Syrian government that protects minority rights, dismantles chemical weapons, and does not pose a threat to its neighbors. They also discussed the importance of continuing efforts to keep ISIS under control. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan also met with Blinken, where they focused on Syria. Fidan reiterated Turkey's aim to achieve stability and peace in Syria and to eliminate terrorist organizations in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Increased PKK activity • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Complete success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Failure • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Successful prevention • 25%
Partial prevention • 25%
No prevention • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%