Market
Outcome of South Korea's political situation by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stability restored • 25%
Government change • 25%
Continued unrest • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government or major news outlets
Story
Blinken Welcomes South Korea's Lifting of Martial Law, Urges Peaceful Resolution
Dec 6, 2024, 01:35 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol declared martial law on Tuesday, raising concerns over the nation's political stability. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, expressing that 'political disagreements need to be resolved peacefully and in accordance with the rule of law,' spoke with South Korean Foreign Minister Cho Taeyul. Blinken welcomed the lifting of martial law, conveyed confidence that the democratic process will prevail, and reaffirmed the United States’ ironclad commitment to the alliance. South Korea's foreign ministry stated that it will continue to communicate closely with the US for the alliance to develop 'without wavering.'
View original story
Similar markets
Governmental changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation to further conflict • 25%
Resolution through negotiation • 25%
Yoon remains President • 25%
Political stalemate • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Other significant resolution • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Martial law lifted, current government remains • 25%
Martial law remains, government unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law lifted, opposition gains power • 25%
Acting President remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Other • 25%
Crisis resolved • 25%
Crisis ongoing • 25%
Escalation of crisis • 25%
Other • 25%
New election • 25%
New interim government • 25%
Yoon remains in office • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other • 25%
Yoon Resigns • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Yoon Remains in Power • 25%
Yoon Impeached • 25%
New presidential elections called • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo becomes president • 25%