Market
What will be the political outcome in South Korea following Yoon's impeachment by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New presidential elections called • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo becomes president • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official government announcements and party statements
Story
South Korea's Court Reviews Yoon's Impeachment After Martial Law Turmoil
Dec 16, 2024, 05:24 AM
South Korea's Constitutional Court has begun the process of reviewing the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was suspended from office following a parliamentary vote on Saturday. The impeachment stems from Yoon's brief declaration of martial law on December 3, which lasted less than six hours and plunged the country into political turmoil. The court has set a preliminary hearing for December 27 to assess the legal issues involved. Yoon faces allegations of insurrection, abuse of power, and obstructing people from exercising their rights. Investigators from a joint team plan to summon Yoon for questioning on Wednesday regarding these charges. The impeachment was approved by 204 votes in favor and 85 against, with three abstentions and eight null votes. The court has up to six months to decide whether to uphold the impeachment or reinstate Yoon. In the interim, Prime Minister Han Duck-soo is acting as president. The leader of Yoon's People Power Party, Han Dong-hoon, resigned on Monday, citing his support for the impeachment as the reason.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Major shift towards opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthening of current government • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
New presidential election called • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol faces trial • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Passed • 25%
Failed • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resolution with reforms • 25%
Continuation of current situation • 25%
Other • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Majority support impeachment • 33%
Majority oppose impeachment • 33%
Public opinion remains divided • 34%
Joins another political party • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
No significant political role • 25%
Forms a new political party • 25%