Market
Major political outcome in South Korea by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yoon remains President • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Political stalemate • 25%
Official government announcements or credible news sources
Story
South Korea Imposes Travel Ban on President Yoon Amid Martial Law and Treason Investigation
Dec 9, 2024, 05:45 AM
South Korean authorities have imposed an overseas travel ban on President Yoon Suk Yeol amid an investigation into his brief declaration of martial law last week. The Corruption Investigation Office for High-ranking Officials has ordered the ban, with its chief instructing investigators to seek restrictions on the president's travel. Police have not ruled out questioning Yoon over potential treason charges, and the Justice Ministry confirmed that prosecutors are examining whether his actions constituted an insurrection. The move highlights a deepening political crisis in South Korea as officials scrutinize the legality of the president's recent martial law decree.
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Other • 25%
Continued unrest • 25%
Government change • 25%
Stability restored • 25%
Resolution through negotiation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Governmental changes • 25%
Escalation to further conflict • 25%
Other significant political changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Resignation and snap election • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
President Yoon remains in power • 25%
President Yoon is impeached • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Acting President remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant resolution • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
Martial law lifted, opposition gains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law remains, government unchanged • 25%
Martial law lifted, current government remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decreased instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
New interim government • 25%
Yoon remains in office • 25%
Other • 25%
New election • 25%
Main opposition party • 25%
Current ruling party • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
Military leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol • 25%
Interim President • 25%
Newly elected President • 25%