Market
Significant policy change in US-South Korea alliance by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from the US State Department or South Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Story
Blinken Welcomes South Korea's Lifting of Martial Law, Urges Peaceful Resolution
Dec 6, 2024, 01:35 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol declared martial law on Tuesday, raising concerns over the nation's political stability. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, expressing that 'political disagreements need to be resolved peacefully and in accordance with the rule of law,' spoke with South Korean Foreign Minister Cho Taeyul. Blinken welcomed the lifting of martial law, conveyed confidence that the democratic process will prevail, and reaffirmed the United States’ ironclad commitment to the alliance. South Korea's foreign ministry stated that it will continue to communicate closely with the US for the alliance to develop 'without wavering.'
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Decreased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New alliance formation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Other Changes • 25%
Strengthened Ties with China • 25%
Strengthened Ties with US • 25%
Maintained Current Stance • 25%
Alliance weakened • 25%
Alliance unchanged • 25%
Alliance strengthened • 25%
Alliance dissolved • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Economic sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
No change • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
No significant changes • 25%