Market
Outcome of next major Israel-Palestine conflict in 2025?
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Iran•Revolutionary Guards•Israel•Hamas•Palestinian•IRGC•Gaza•Zionist•Palestine•Ayatollah Ali Khamenei•Zionists•Iranian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Decisive victory for Palestinian groups • 25%
Ongoing conflict without resolution • 25%
Verified news reports, official statements from involved parties
Story
Iran's Revolutionary Guards and Khamenei Call Gaza Ceasefire a 'Great Victory' for Palestine and 'Defeat' for Israel
Jan 16, 2025, 07:15 AM
Iran's Revolutionary Guards hailed the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas as a 'great victory' for the Palestinian resistance and an 'even greater defeat' for Israel. In a statement shared via semi-official news agencies on Thursday, the IRGC praised the resilience and patience of the people of Gaza, stating that the imposed ceasefire on the Zionist regime was a great victory for Palestine. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei also commended the Palestinian resistance, saying that their patience and steadfastness 'forced Israel to retreat.' He noted that the world has realized this, and that 'in books it will be written that the Zionists killed thousands of women and children and in the end were defeated.' The ceasefire agreement, marking the end of the recent conflict in Gaza, has been celebrated by Iranian officials as a momentous win for Palestine.
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No significant military action taken • 25%
Partial defeat with ongoing conflict • 25%
No ceasefire, continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire implemented • 25%
Partial ceasefire with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Increased international military intervention • 25%
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Status quo • 25%
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Full Israeli control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalated conflict • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Hostage deal with no further conflict • 25%