Market
What will be the future of the Israel-Hamas conflict by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements
Story
Netanyahu Announces Ceasefire and Prisoner-Swap Deal with Hamas to Release Gaza Hostages
Jan 17, 2025, 02:22 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that a deal has been reached with Hamas to release hostages held in the Gaza Strip. The agreement, which includes a ceasefire and a prisoner-swap, comes after last-minute snags in negotiation talks. Netanyahu's office confirmed that the negotiating team informed him of the agreement, and he will convene his security cabinet and government to approve the deal. The inclusion of a Gaza truce in the agreement represents a key development in the ongoing conflict.
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Similar markets
Continued ceasefire • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
New negotiations • 25%
Stable peace • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Failure • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Escalated conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mediation talks ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no major incidents • 25%
Ceasefire is extended • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor incidents • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Complete Israeli control • 25%
Hostage deal with no further conflict • 25%
