Loading...
Market
How will TikTok's operation in the US be resolved by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Court decision • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Official announcements or legal documents from TikTok, ByteDance, or U.S. government bodies
Story
Biden Leaves TikTok Ban Decision to Trump, Set for Jan. 19
Jan 17, 2025, 08:06 AM
President Joe Biden will not enforce a ban on the social media app TikTok that is set to take effect a day before he leaves office on Monday, a U.S. official said. The decision leaves the app's fate in the hands of President-elect Donald Trump. Congress last year required that TikTok's China-based parent company ByteDance divest the company by Jan. 19, a day before the presidential inauguration. The official spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss internal Biden administration thinking. Trump, who once sought to ban the app, has since pledged to keep it available in the U.S., though his transition team has not detailed how they intend to accomplish this.
View original story
Similar markets
Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban • 25%
Sale • 25%
No change • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
No resolution • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Divestment • 25%