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What will be the status of TikTok's operations in the US by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Operational without change • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
TikTok's operational status as reported by major news outlets
Story
Supreme Court to Rule on TikTok Ban Friday as Trump Seeks to Delay January 19 Shutdown
Jan 16, 2025, 05:46 PM
The United States Supreme Court is poised to issue a decision on whether to ban the widely used video-sharing app TikTok, with the ruling anticipated as soon as Friday at 10 a.m. The potential ban, set to take effect on January 19, could result in TikTok being removed from app stores and eventually becoming unusable, raising concerns among its 170 million U.S. users about the fate of their data and possible alternatives. TikTok faces being shut down or forced to sever ties with its China-based parent company, ByteDance, due to national security concerns. The Biden administration has indicated it does not plan to enforce the ban immediately and is deferring the decision to President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration. President-elect Trump is reportedly exploring options to delay the ban or preserve TikTok's operations in the U.S., possibly through an executive order. Incoming National Security Adviser Mike Waltz stated that measures will be put in place to keep TikTok from "going dark," emphasizing the platform's importance in communicating the administration's "America First" message.
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Similar markets
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Other status • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Operations suspended temporarily • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operational with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Court decision • 25%