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How will the TikTok U.S. operations issue be resolved by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supreme Court decision • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Official government announcements or ByteDance press releases
Story
U.S. DOJ Urges Supreme Court to Reject Trump's Request to Delay TikTok Ban, Citing National Security
Jan 3, 2025, 10:39 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice has urged the Supreme Court to reject President-elect Donald Trump's request to delay the implementation of a law that would ban TikTok in the U.S. unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests from it by January 19. The Supreme Court is set to hear oral arguments on January 10, just days before the law is scheduled to take effect. Trump has expressed opposition to the ban, citing his desire to resolve the issue politically once he takes office on January 20. TikTok, used by 170 million Americans, has argued that the law stems from its refusal to censor certain viewpoints, while the Justice Department maintains that the law aims to sever the app's ties to the Chinese government due to national security concerns. The outcome of the Supreme Court's decision could have significant implications for the platform's users.
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Sale • 25%
Ban • 25%
No change • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Divestment • 25%
Political resolution reached • 25%
Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%