Loading...
Market
How will TikTok's U.S. operations be resolved by Jan 20, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban • 25%
Sale • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
No change • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, U.S. government, or Supreme Court.
Story
U.S. DOJ Urges Supreme Court to Reject Trump's Request to Delay TikTok Ban by Jan. 19
Jan 4, 2025, 03:06 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice has urged the Supreme Court to reject President-elect Donald Trump's request to delay the implementation of a law that would ban TikTok in the U.S. or force its sale by its Chinese parent company ByteDance by Jan. 19. The law, which requires ByteDance to divest from TikTok's U.S. assets or face a ban, has been contested by TikTok on free speech grounds, arguing that it could infringe on the First Amendment rights of its 170 million U.S. users. Trump, who previously attempted to ban TikTok during his first term citing national security risks, now supports the platform and has asked the Supreme Court to pause the ban to allow his incoming administration time to seek a negotiated resolution. The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on the case on Jan. 10.
View original story
Similar markets
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
No resolution • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
International ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
Divestment • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Negotiated deal with Trump administration • 25%
Legislative amendment to existing law • 25%
No deal, ban enforced • 25%
Other political resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Political resolution reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Other status • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Banned • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%