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How will TikTok's U.S. operations be resolved by January 19, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, U.S. government, or credible news sources
Story
TikTok Files Emergency Appeal to Block U.S. Ban by ByteDance as 170 Million Americans Face January 19 Deadline
Dec 16, 2024, 10:02 PM
TikTok has filed an emergency appeal with the U.S. Supreme Court seeking to block a federal law that could lead to a nationwide ban on the app unless its China-based parent company, ByteDance, agrees to sell it. The appeal comes as the law's enforcement deadline approaches on January 19, 2024. TikTok's legal team argues that the ban poses a significant threat to the platform's operations in the United States, which is used by approximately 170 million Americans. The company is urging the Supreme Court to intervene before the deadline to prevent the law from taking effect. The request follows a recent ruling by three federal appeals court judges who upheld the law, increasing pressure on TikTok to act swiftly.
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ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S. company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in U.S. • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 33%
Sold to U.S. company • 33%
Sold to non-U.S. company • 33%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
Other action • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Temporary stay on ban • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ownership changes resolve issue • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok secures new non-China-based owner • 25%
Ban enforced, TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Mandate extended • 25%
Mandate modified • 25%
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%