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How will TikTok's operational status in the U.S. be resolved by the end of June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or the U.S. government and news reports from major outlets
Story
Biden Won't Enforce TikTok Ban Set for Sunday, Leaves Decision to Trump
Jan 16, 2025, 09:59 PM
The Biden administration has announced it does not plan to enforce the TikTok ban scheduled to take effect on Sunday, January 19th, which would force TikTok to go dark for U.S. users. According to an administration official speaking to ABC News, the administration will leave the decision regarding the enforcement of the ban to the incoming Trump administration. "Our position on this has been clear: TikTok should continue to operate under American ownership," the official said. The Biden administration will not enforce the ban during the final 36 hours of President Biden's term if it goes into effect. Any further action regarding enforcement will be up to President-elect Trump and his team. The ban is set to go into effect over the holiday weekend, but the Biden administration effectively leaves its implementation to the next administration.
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Sold to another company • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
Sale • 25%
No change • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ban • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Court decision • 25%
Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
No resolution • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%