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What will happen to TikTok's US operations by the end of January 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold to a US company • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from TikTok or news reports.
Story
Supreme Court Weighs TikTok Ban Amid Free Speech, Security Clash
Jan 9, 2025, 07:52 PM
The US Supreme Court is set to hear oral arguments on Friday, January 10, 2025, over a federal law passed in April 2024 requiring TikTok, owned by Chinese company ByteDance, to be sold by January 19 or face a ban in the United States due to national security concerns. TikTok, used by approximately 170 million Americans, has announced that it plans to shut down its US operations on January 19 unless the Supreme Court overturns or delays the law requiring its sale. The company is challenging the law, citing free speech rights under the First Amendment. The case presents a collision between national security concerns and free speech, and its outcome could have significant implications for the social media landscape and the First Amendment.
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Ban • 25%
Sale • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
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Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
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ByteDance divestment • 25%
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Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
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Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
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TikTok operations suspended • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
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TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Joint US-China ownership • 25%
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Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%