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How will TikTok's national security concerns be resolved by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Official announcements from US government or ByteDance
Story
Trump Favors Keeping TikTok in US Amid Billions of Views, Citing National Security
Dec 22, 2024, 06:20 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed support for allowing TikTok to continue operating in the United States for a little while longer. Speaking at an event in Phoenix, Arizona, Trump cited the platform's role in his presidential campaign, mentioning that he received billions of views on TikTok. This statement comes amidst ongoing discussions about national security concerns related to TikTok, owned by the Chinese company ByteDance. The U.S. Senate passed a law in April requiring ByteDance to divest the app by January 19, or face a ban in the U.S. The Supreme Court has agreed to hear ByteDance's challenge to this law, with a decision expected to impact the app's future in the country.
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New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ban • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Sale • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Political resolution reached • 25%
Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
No resolution • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
Divestment • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
International ownership • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%