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What will be the ownership status of TikTok by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or acquiring company
Story
Trump Favors Keeping TikTok in US Amid Billions of Views, Citing National Security
Dec 22, 2024, 06:20 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed support for allowing TikTok to continue operating in the United States for a little while longer. Speaking at an event in Phoenix, Arizona, Trump cited the platform's role in his presidential campaign, mentioning that he received billions of views on TikTok. This statement comes amidst ongoing discussions about national security concerns related to TikTok, owned by the Chinese company ByteDance. The U.S. Senate passed a law in April requiring ByteDance to divest the app by January 19, or face a ban in the U.S. The Supreme Court has agreed to hear ByteDance's challenge to this law, with a decision expected to impact the app's future in the country.
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Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok secures new non-China-based owner • 25%
Ban enforced, TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S. company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in U.S. • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 33%
Sold to U.S. company • 33%
Sold to non-U.S. company • 33%
U.S.-based tech company • 25%
European-based company • 25%
Consortium of investors • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Non-China owner found • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban prevented by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
U.S. Company • 25%
Joint Venture • 25%
Other • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
