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How will the TikTok situation be resolved before January 19, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban enforced • 25%
Political resolution reached • 25%
Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the US government or major news outlets
Story
Trump Asks Supreme Court to Delay Jan. 19 TikTok Ban to Pursue 'Political Resolution'
Dec 28, 2024, 12:02 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has asked the US Supreme Court to pause a law that would ban the social media platform TikTok on January 19, the day before his inauguration. In a legal filing on Friday, Trump's lawyers requested the court to delay enforcement of the ban to allow his incoming administration to pursue a "political resolution" to the issue. The law requires TikTok, owned by Chinese company ByteDance, to be sold or face a ban in the United States. Unless blocked, the law would take effect on January 19.
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Similar markets
No resolution • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Sale • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ban • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Divestment • 25%
Partial divestment • 25%
Full divestment • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No divestment • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
Appeal granted, no ban • 25%
Appeal denied, ban enforced • 25%
Settlement reached, operations continue • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%