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How will the TikTok legal situation be resolved by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Pending further legal review • 25%
Legal announcements or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Likely to Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension Amid Supreme Court Ruling on ByteDance
Jan 19, 2025, 12:49 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated that he is likely to grant TikTok a 90-day extension on Inauguration Day, which falls on Monday. This decision comes in the wake of a Supreme Court ruling that upheld a federal ban on the app, set to take effect on Sunday. The extension would allow Trump's incoming administration time to assess the situation regarding TikTok, which has been ordered to sever ties with its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, by the deadline. Trump's comments were made during interviews with NBC News and ABC News on Saturday, where he mentioned considering the extension as an appropriate measure while his administration reviews the issue.
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No change • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Ban suspended • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Legal resolution favoring US government • 25%
Legal resolution favoring TikTok • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban avoided through sale • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Operational with conditions • 25%
Divestment and restructuring • 25%
Full operational clearance • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Banned • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%