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What will be the status of TikTok's US operations by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Likely to Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension Amid Supreme Court Ruling on ByteDance
Jan 19, 2025, 12:49 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated that he is likely to grant TikTok a 90-day extension on Inauguration Day, which falls on Monday. This decision comes in the wake of a Supreme Court ruling that upheld a federal ban on the app, set to take effect on Sunday. The extension would allow Trump's incoming administration time to assess the situation regarding TikTok, which has been ordered to sever ties with its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, by the deadline. Trump's comments were made during interviews with NBC News and ABC News on Saturday, where he mentioned considering the extension as an appropriate measure while his administration reviews the issue.
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Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Operational • 25%
Facing Legal Challenges • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Only in Canada • 25%
Only in U.S. • 25%
Continues in both U.S. and Canada • 25%
Banned in both • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Continues without change • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Banned completely • 25%
Continues without restrictions • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%