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What will be the outcome of TikTok's legal challenge against the U.S. ban by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court rulings or official legal documents
Story
TikTok Goes Dark in US, Affecting 170 Million Users; Trump Considers 90-Day Extension
Jan 19, 2025, 04:09 AM
TikTok has ceased operations in the United States, affecting its 170 million users, as a federal ban on the app took effect. The shutdown was announced through a pop-up message on the app, informing users that a law banning TikTok had been enacted and that the service would be temporarily unavailable. The app has also been removed from Apple and Google app stores in the U.S. The ban stems from a law requiring TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the platform or face a ban. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid the ban once he takes office on Monday.
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Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Settlement Reached • 34%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Ban Overturned • 33%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
US government wins • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban partially lifted with restrictions • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Ban lifted completely • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%