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Market
How will major social media platforms respond to TikTok's U.S. shutdown by March 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Instagram releases new features • 25%
Snapchat increases user engagement • 25%
YouTube launches short video incentives • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Official announcements and media reports from social media companies
Story
TikTok Officially Shuts Down in U.S. After Government Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 03:39 AM
On January 19, 2025, TikTok, the popular social media platform, officially shut down its operations in the United States following a government ban.
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Similar markets
Launch similar features • 25%
Other strategic moves • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increase marketing efforts • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
Other platform • 25%
Snapchat Spotlight • 25%
Instagram Reels • 25%
Increase in Instagram Users • 25%
Increase in YouTube Shorts Users • 25%
No Significant Shift • 25%
Increase in Snapchat Users • 25%
Some withdraw support • 25%
All withdraw support • 25%
No statement • 25%
All continue support • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease in social media usage • 25%
Protests or legal action • 25%
Migration to other platforms • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Cease U.S. operations permanently • 25%
Other action • 25%
File another legal challenge • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
No major action • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Snapchat • 25%
Other • 25%
Xiaohongshu • 25%
Instagram • 25%
General indifference • 25%
Support for the ban • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
Other reactions • 25%
Moderate backlash • 25%
No noticeable backlash • 25%
Significant backlash • 25%
Minimal backlash • 25%