Loading...
Market
What will be the impact on U.S. social media landscape if TikTok is banned by June 30, 2025?
1
Donald Trump•TikTok•Chinese•ByteDance•Trump•Justice Department•Supreme Court•Americans•First Amendment•Chinese government
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in Instagram Users • 25%
Increase in Snapchat Users • 25%
Increase in YouTube Shorts Users • 25%
No Significant Shift • 25%
Market analysis reports and user statistics from credible sources
Story
Trump Seeks Supreme Court Delay on TikTok Ban to Allow Political Resolution
Jan 4, 2025, 10:00 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has requested the U.S. Supreme Court to delay the implementation of a law that would ban TikTok in the U.S. unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests from the platform by Jan. 19. Trump's request comes as he aims to resolve the issue through political means after his inauguration on Jan. 20. The Justice Department, however, has urged the Supreme Court to reject Trump's request, arguing that TikTok poses a national security threat due to its data collection practices and potential for foreign influence operations. The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on the case on Jan. 10, just days before the law is scheduled to take effect. TikTok, used by 170 million Americans, has argued that the law infringes on First Amendment rights and could set a dangerous precedent for speech suppression. The platform has also denied any direct influence from the Chinese government on its operations.
View original story
Similar markets
Other significant reactions • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Oppose • 25%
Support • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Other • 25%
Meta Platforms Inc. • 25%
YouTube • 25%
Snap Inc. • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
No action • 25%
Regulation • 25%
Ban • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Data privacy concerns • 25%
National security threats • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other reasons • 25%