Loading...
Market
What will be TikTok's response to the potential ban by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official announcements or press releases from TikTok.
Story
Supreme Court Signals Likely Upholding of TikTok Ban on January 19 Over ByteDance Ties
Jan 10, 2025, 05:53 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has signaled that it is likely to uphold a ban on TikTok, set to take effect on January 19, following more than two hours of oral arguments. The justices appeared skeptical of TikTok's arguments that the ban violates First Amendment rights, focusing instead on national security concerns related to the app's ties to China. The law, which requires TikTok to divest from its parent company ByteDance or face a ban, was approved by Congress in April. Justices from both sides of the political spectrum questioned the implications of the law on TikTok's operations and the potential for foreign control over the app, which is used by 170 million Americans. The Supreme Court's decision on whether to temporarily block the ban could come quickly, before the justices fully resolve underlying questions about speech protections.
View original story
Similar markets
Other actions • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Other response • 25%
Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Keep TikTok • 33%
Remove TikTok • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other • 25%
Shut down U.S. operations • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Comply with ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No response • 25%
Negotiation • 25%
Compliance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Legal challenge against the ban • 25%
No changes announced • 25%
Partnerships with NGOs for safety • 25%
New safety features • 25%
No significant action • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%