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What will be TikTok's next step if banned in the U.S. by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
File another legal challenge • 25%
Cease U.S. operations permanently • 25%
Other action • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or major news outlets reporting on TikTok's actions
Story
TikTok to Shut Down in U.S. on January 19 Amid Supreme Court Ban Unless Biden Intervenes
Jan 18, 2025, 02:29 AM
TikTok announced that it will be forced to shut down its U.S. operations on Sunday, January 19, unless the Biden administration immediately intervenes to prevent a federal ban from taking effect. The popular social media app, used by 170 million Americans, is facing a shutdown due to a law banning its operation in the United States, which was unanimously upheld by the Supreme Court on Friday. TikTok stated, "Unless the Biden Administration immediately provides a definitive statement to satisfy the most critical service providers assuring non-enforcement, unfortunately TikTok will be forced to go dark on January 19." The company is seeking clarity from the Biden administration and the Department of Justice to maintain the app's availability for its 170 million U.S. users.
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Similar markets
File new lawsuit • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
No major action • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Increase marketing efforts • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other strategic moves • 25%
Launch similar features • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Legal appeal filed • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Divestment from ByteDance • 25%
Other action • 25%
Compliance with ban • 25%
Sale of TikTok • 25%
Further legal appeal • 25%
Significant backlash • 25%
Moderate backlash • 25%
Minimal backlash • 25%
No noticeable backlash • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Other • 25%
Comply with ban • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Shut down U.S. operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Migration to other platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action • 25%
Decrease in social media usage • 25%