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Market
How will major U.S. tech companies respond to TikTok's situation by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official statements from Apple, Google, and other major tech companies
Story
Lawmakers Warn Apple, Google: Remove TikTok by January 19 if ByteDance Doesn't Sell
Dec 14, 2024, 05:36 AM
Key House lawmakers from the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party have warned Apple and Google to prepare to remove TikTok from their U.S. app stores by January 19 if the app's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, does not sell its U.S. operations. TikTok, used by 170 million Americans, is scrambling in federal court to halt a federal law requiring ByteDance to divest to a U.S. owner or face a ban in the U.S. on January 19. A federal appeals court has rejected TikTok's request to temporarily halt the impending ban, leaving the mid-January deadline in place. TikTok is expected to appeal to the Supreme Court. The lawmakers emphasize concerns over national security and data privacy due to TikTok's ties to China.
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Similar markets
Launch competing app • 25%
Increase lobbying efforts • 25%
Attempt acquisition • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Remove TikTok • 33%
Keep TikTok • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Keep TikTok • 25%
Temporarily suspend TikTok • 25%
Other action • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Keep TikTok • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Other action • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Do Not Remove TikTok • 25%
Announce Removal Plan • 25%
No Action Announced • 25%
Support the ban • 25%
Oppose the ban • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
No statement • 25%
Relocate operations • 25%
Seek legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other actions • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No resolution • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase in lobbying efforts • 25%
Partnerships with U.S. companies • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%