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Market
What will be the response from TikTok's user base if the app is banned by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant backlash • 25%
Moderate backlash • 25%
Minimal backlash • 25%
No noticeable backlash • 25%
Social media analysis, news reports, or surveys
Story
Supreme Court Upholds TikTok Ban Unless Chinese Owner ByteDance Divests by Sunday
Jan 17, 2025, 03:20 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has unanimously upheld a federal law requiring TikTok's China-based parent company, ByteDance, to divest its ownership of the popular social media platform or face a nationwide ban. The decision paves the way for TikTok to be banned in the United States as soon as Sunday, January 19, unless ByteDance complies with the divestiture requirement. The Court sided with Congress's national security concerns over claims that the ban violates the First Amendment. The Biden administration has signaled that no action will be taken, and it remains unclear what options are available to President-elect Donald Trump when he assumes office on Monday.
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Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Other response • 25%
Decrease in social media usage • 25%
Migration to other platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Increased usage • 25%
Decreased usage • 25%
Organized protests • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change in user behavior • 25%
Majority migrate to alternative platforms • 25%
Majority continue using TikTok despite restrictions • 25%
Significant decline in user engagement • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Majority support ban • 33%
Majority oppose ban • 33%
Divided opinion • 34%
Significant user migration to competitors • 25%
Other user behaviors • 25%
Users stop using TikTok • 25%
Users use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
Other • 25%
No protests • 25%
Major protests • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by less than 25% • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
Decrease by 25-50% • 25%
Stop using TikTok • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Switch to alternative apps • 25%
Use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%