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Market
How will TikTok's U.S. user base react if banned by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Migration to other platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action • 25%
Decrease in social media usage • 25%
Other • 25%
Surveys, social media analysis, or credible news reports
Story
Supreme Court Upholds Law Requiring TikTok to Divest from ByteDance by Sunday or Face U.S. Ban
Jan 17, 2025, 03:04 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has upheld a law that requires TikTok to divest from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, by Sunday or face a nationwide ban. The unanimous, unsigned decision clears the way for the enforcement of the statute, which was passed with bipartisan support in Congress last April. The court concluded that the law does not violate the First Amendment rights of TikTok and its users, despite arguments from the company and content creators that it infringes on their free speech rights. The decision comes just days before the law is set to take effect, potentially leading to TikTok's shutdown in the U.S. if no divestiture occurs.
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Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Majority continue using TikTok despite restrictions • 25%
Significant decline in user engagement • 25%
No significant change in user behavior • 25%
Majority migrate to alternative platforms • 25%
Decreased usage • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Organized protests • 25%
Increased usage • 25%
No noticeable backlash • 25%
Significant backlash • 25%
Minimal backlash • 25%
Moderate backlash • 25%
Majority support ban • 33%
Majority oppose ban • 33%
Divided opinion • 34%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
Decrease by 25-50% • 25%
Decrease by less than 25% • 25%
Other response • 25%
Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Other user behaviors • 25%
Users use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Significant user migration to competitors • 25%
Users stop using TikTok • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Switch to alternative apps • 25%
Use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Stop using TikTok • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Other reactions • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
General indifference • 25%
Support for the ban • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No protests • 25%
Other • 25%