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Market
What will be the public reaction to TikTok's shutdown in the U.S. by January 31, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread protests • 25%
General indifference • 25%
Support for the ban • 25%
Other reactions • 25%
Public opinion polls, social media sentiment analysis, and media reports
Story
TikTok to Shut Down U.S. App Sunday Unless Supreme Court Intervenes in Ban
Jan 15, 2025, 04:09 AM
TikTok is preparing to shut down its U.S. app on Sunday, January 19th, unless the Supreme Court intervenes to block the federal ban requiring the app to be sold to a non-Chinese entity. The popular video-sharing platform, owned by China-based ByteDance, faces a nationwide ban unless it complies with the law mandating divestiture by January 19th, 2025. TikTok's legal team has urged the Supreme Court to consider the broader implications of banning the app, warning that it could set a precedent for government overreach in content censorship. However, the Supreme Court appeared skeptical of TikTok's arguments that forcing it to divest or cease operations would violate free speech rights, leaving the app with few paths to survival. ByteDance has stated it will not sell TikTok. President-elect Donald J. Trump has requested to prevent the ban, but the Supreme Court has signaled it may deny the request. If the ban proceeds, TikTok users in the United States will lose access to the app, even if they have it already installed, and will be redirected to a website providing details about the ban.
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Similar markets
Minimal reaction • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
User migration to other platforms • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Other • 25%
No protests • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Majority oppose the ban • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Majority support the ban • 25%
Majority support the ban • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Majority oppose the ban • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
Support • 25%
Oppose • 25%
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Other response • 25%
Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Majority opposes ban • 25%
Majority supports ban • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Majority support ban • 25%
Majority oppose ban • 25%
Majority support the decision • 33%
Mixed reactions • 33%
Majority oppose the decision • 33%