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What will be TikTok's status in the U.S. by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, U.S. government, or credible news sources
Story
Trump's National Security Adviser Mike Waltz Explores Options to Preserve TikTok for Donald Trump
Jan 16, 2025, 02:24 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is considering strategies to maintain the presence of TikTok in the United States, according to his choice for national security adviser, Florida Representative Mike Waltz. Waltz, who previously served as a counterterrorism advisor to Dick Cheney, stated on Wednesday that the administration is exploring various options to 'preserve' the popular social media platform. This initiative comes amid ongoing discussions regarding TikTok's operations in the U.S. and its implications for national security.
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Operational changes without sale • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Under appeal • 25%
Operations unaffected • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Acquired by US company • 25%
Continues with conditions • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other acquisition • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Non-US Company • 25%
Sold to US Company • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Not operational • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Under new ownership • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%