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What will be TikTok's status in the US by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban halted • 25%
Non-China owner found • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban prevented by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official government announcements, corporate statements, or legal documents
Story
Trump Signals Intervention to Prevent TikTok Ban Set for January 19, 2025
Dec 16, 2024, 04:52 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he might intervene to prevent the looming ban on TikTok, set to take effect on January 19, 2025, if the app's Chinese parent company ByteDance does not divest its stakes. Trump expressed a fondness for TikTok, citing its potential role in his significant gains among young voters during the 2024 election, where he won the youth vote by 34 points. He mentioned that his son Barron recommended influencers and podcasters that helped him connect with younger audiences. Trump's comments suggest a reversal from his previous hard-line stance against TikTok when he was president in 2020, where he attempted to block the app unless it was sold to a U.S. company.
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TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Divests from ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Fully operational with new owner • 25%
Operational under current ownership • 25%
Partially operational with restrictions • 25%
Not operational • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Unrestricted • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Under review • 25%
Removed from both stores • 25%
Removed from Apple only • 25%
Removed from Google only • 25%
Not removed from either store • 25%
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok sold to a US company • 33%
TikTok continues without changes • 33%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%