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What will be TikTok's status in the U.S. by March 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, and U.S. government press releases.
Story
Trump Asks Supreme Court to Delay January 19 TikTok Ban to Save Platform
Dec 28, 2024, 03:20 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has asked the US Supreme Court to pause a law that would ban the social media platform TikTok on January 19, the day before his inauguration on January 20. In a legal brief filed on Friday, Trump's legal team requested the delay to allow his incoming administration to pursue a 'political resolution' to the issue. The ban requires TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest from the app or face a ban due to national security concerns over its connections to China. Trump's move marks a reversal from the current administration's position, as he seeks to negotiate a deal to save the platform once he takes office. His lawyers argued that he has the 'deal-making experience, electoral mandate, and political will' to address the issue after his inauguration.
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Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Banned • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Other status • 25%
Removed from Apple only • 25%
Removed from both stores • 25%
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Removed from Google only • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Joint US-China ownership • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other acquisition • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban • 25%
Sale • 25%