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Market
TikTok status in US by Mar 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully operational • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Under new ownership • 25%
Not operational • 25%
Publicly available information on TikTok's operational status and any legal or corporate announcements.
Story
Trump Asks Supreme Court to Delay TikTok Ban to Negotiate Resolution
Dec 27, 2024, 11:58 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has urged the Supreme Court to pause a law that would ban the social media app TikTok in the United States on January 19, the day before his inauguration. The law requires TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to sell or shut down the platform due to national security concerns. Trump submitted an amicus brief asserting that only he possesses the "consummate dealmaking expertise" to negotiate a resolution that addresses security issues while preserving Americans' access to TikTok, which boasts 170 million U.S. users. He is seeking to delay the ban to allow his incoming administration to pursue a political solution.
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Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Over 170 million • 25%
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100-150 million • 25%
150-170 million • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Continues without change • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
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TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
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User base increases • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Banned • 25%
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Other • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Operates with ByteDance • 25%
Banned • 25%
Only in U.S. • 25%
Continues in both U.S. and Canada • 25%
Only in Canada • 25%
Banned in both • 25%
Removed from Apple only • 25%
Removed from both stores • 25%
Not removed from either store • 25%
Removed from Google only • 25%
