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What will be TikTok's operational status in the US by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Publicly available information on TikTok's operational status
Story
Trump Suggests Keeping TikTok Operational in U.S. for a Little While Amid National Security Concerns; Billions of Views Cited
Dec 23, 2024, 07:01 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed a preference for allowing TikTok to continue operating in the United States, suggesting it could remain 'for a little while.' During a speech in Phoenix, Arizona, Trump highlighted his campaign's success on the platform, claiming to have received billions of views. This statement marks a notable shift from his previous criticism of the Chinese-owned app. Trump's comments come amidst ongoing national security concerns regarding TikTok, which is facing a potential ban in the U.S. The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments over the TikTok ban on January 10, 2025, just days before Trump takes office on January 20, 2025.
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Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Fully operational with new owner • 25%
Operational under current ownership • 25%
Partially operational with restrictions • 25%
Not operational • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
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Ban halted • 25%
Non-China owner found • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban prevented by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
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Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Temporary stay on ban • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ownership changes resolve issue • 25%
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
Increase in lobbying efforts • 25%
Partnerships with U.S. companies • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No resolution • 25%