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What will be the resolution of TikTok's status in the US by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban enforced • 25%
Acquired by US company • 25%
Continues with conditions • 25%
Operations unaffected • 25%
Official government announcements or credible news sources
Story
Trump Considers Executive Order to Suspend TikTok Ban Enforcement for 60 to 90 Days, Says Washington Post; Affects $META, $SNAP
Jan 15, 2025, 09:38 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is contemplating an executive order aimed at suspending the enforcement of the law that mandates the sale or ban of TikTok in the United States. According to a report from the Washington Post, this order could temporarily halt the ban for a period of 60 to 90 days. This decision comes as a TikTok ban is anticipated within the week, prompting discussions about the potential impact on social media stocks, particularly Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: $META) and Snap Inc. (NASDAQ: $SNAP).
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Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Banned • 25%
No resolution • 33%
Resolution reached • 33%
Ongoing negotiations • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Under appeal • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Sold to US Company • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Non-US Company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Regulation • 25%
Ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other acquisition • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%