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What will be TikTok's operational status in the U.S. after April 2025?
2
TikTok•United States•ByteDance•China•Supreme Court•Donald Trump•American•CapCut•Lemon8•Lark•MARVEL SNAP•Trump•First Amendment
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned again • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or the U.S. government, news reports
Story
TikTok Resumes Service for 170 Million U.S. Users After Trump's 90-Day Delay Intervention
Jan 19, 2025, 06:05 PM
TikTok has resumed service in the United States after being offline for 14 hours due to a federal ban. The app's parent company, ByteDance, faced the ban due to concerns over its data collection practices and ties to China, which was upheld by the Supreme Court. President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to issue an executive order on Monday to delay the ban by 90 days, providing the necessary clarity and assurance to service providers. This allowed TikTok to restore access to its over 170 million American users and support more than 7 million small businesses. Other ByteDance-linked apps such as CapCut, Lemon8, Lark, and MARVEL SNAP were also affected. TikTok expressed gratitude towards Trump for his commitment to First Amendment rights and opposition to arbitrary censorship, and indicated a willingness to work with him on a long-term solution to keep TikTok operational in the U.S. Trump has suggested a potential solution involving a 50% U.S. ownership in a joint venture with TikTok's current or new owners.
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Similar markets
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operations suspended temporarily • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operational with ByteDance • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Continues operations • 33%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Banned • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
