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What will be TikTok's operational status in the US by December 31, 2025?
2
TikTok•United States•Supreme Court•Chinese•ByteDance•Biden•White House•Donald Trump•Trump•NBC•CapCut
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or reliable news sources
Story
TikTok Shuts Down in US, Affects 170 Million Users; Trump Considers 90-Day Extension
Jan 19, 2025, 04:04 AM
TikTok has ceased operations in the United States, following a Supreme Court decision upholding a law that mandated the platform to sever ties with its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, or face closure. The app, which has 170 million users in the U.S., displayed a message to users stating that TikTok was 'not available at this moment' due to the legislation. The Biden administration has stated that TikTok made this decision independently. The White House announced that the current administration would not enforce the law, leaving its implementation to the incoming President Donald Trump, who is set to take office on Monday. Trump has indicated in an interview with NBC that he would 'probably' grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid the ban. The law, passed in April 2024, required ByteDance to sell its U.S. operations within nine months to a buyer not considered an adversary to the U.S., or face prohibition on January 19 for national security reasons. The ban has also affected CapCut, another ByteDance-owned app used for video editing.
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Similar markets
Other status • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Other status • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Continues operations • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Operations suspended temporarily • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operational with ByteDance • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Banned • 25%