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What will be TikTok's operational status in the U.S. by the end of February 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or the U.S. government and news reports from major outlets
Story
Biden Won't Enforce TikTok Ban Set for Sunday, Leaves Decision to Trump
Jan 16, 2025, 09:59 PM
The Biden administration has announced it does not plan to enforce the TikTok ban scheduled to take effect on Sunday, January 19th, which would force TikTok to go dark for U.S. users. According to an administration official speaking to ABC News, the administration will leave the decision regarding the enforcement of the ban to the incoming Trump administration. "Our position on this has been clear: TikTok should continue to operate under American ownership," the official said. The Biden administration will not enforce the ban during the final 36 hours of President Biden's term if it goes into effect. Any further action regarding enforcement will be up to President-elect Trump and his team. The ban is set to go into effect over the holiday weekend, but the Biden administration effectively leaves its implementation to the next administration.
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Temporarily suspended • 33%
Continues operations • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Other status • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Divested • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Continues without restrictions • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Other • 25%
Operates with ByteDance • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Banned • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other status • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%