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What will be TikTok's operational status in the U.S. by January 20, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues operations • 33%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Official statements from TikTok, the Biden administration, or major news outlets
Story
TikTok to Shut Down in U.S. on January 19 Amid Supreme Court Ban Unless Biden Intervenes
Jan 18, 2025, 02:29 AM
TikTok announced that it will be forced to shut down its U.S. operations on Sunday, January 19, unless the Biden administration immediately intervenes to prevent a federal ban from taking effect. The popular social media app, used by 170 million Americans, is facing a shutdown due to a law banning its operation in the United States, which was unanimously upheld by the Supreme Court on Friday. TikTok stated, "Unless the Biden Administration immediately provides a definitive statement to satisfy the most critical service providers assuring non-enforcement, unfortunately TikTok will be forced to go dark on January 19." The company is seeking clarity from the Biden administration and the Department of Justice to maintain the app's availability for its 170 million U.S. users.
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Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Other status • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operational with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operations suspended temporarily • 25%
Under appeal • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other acquisition • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Acquired by Project Liberty • 25%