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    What will be the U.S. public opinion on NATO membership by the end of 2025?

    2
    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Increased support for NATO25%

    Decreased support for NATO25%

    No change in support25%

    Other outcomes25%

    Public opinion polls from reputable sources like Gallup or Pew Research

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    Trump Threatens NATO Exit Over Unpaid Bills, Hints at Ukraine Aid Cut

    Trump Threatens NATO Exit Over Unpaid Bills, Hints at Ukraine Aid Cut

    Dec 8, 2024, 06:31 PM

    Former President Donald Trump has stated that he would consider withdrawing the United States from NATO if other member countries fail to meet their financial obligations and treat the U.S. fairly. In an interview with NBC's "Meet the Press," Trump remarked, "If they're paying their bills and if I think they're treating us fairly, the answer is absolutely—I'd stay with NATO." He also suggested the possibility of reducing aid to Ukraine and emphasized the need to restructure unfair trade agreements with the U.S.

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    Similar markets

    Majority support staying25%

    No clear majority25%

    Majority support withdrawing25%

    Evenly split25%

    Majority support staying25%

    Majority support leaving25%

    Opinion remains divided25%

    Other outcome25%

    US reduces involvement25%

    US increases involvement25%

    US remains in NATO25%

    US withdraws from NATO25%

    No significant changes25%

    NATO restructuring proposed25%

    Agreement on increased contributions25%

    U.S. threatens withdrawal25%

    Increased aid to Ukraine25%

    Reduced aid to Ukraine25%

    Increased support for NATO25%

    Withdrawal from NATO25%

    Somewhat Oppose25%

    Strongly Oppose25%

    Strongly Support25%

    Somewhat Support25%

    Uncertain25%

    More supportive25%

    Less supportive25%

    Unchanged25%

    Support U.S. interests25%

    No official response25%

    Oppose U.S. interests25%

    Remain neutral25%

    Oppose Ukraine's membership25%

    No clear position25%

    Propose alternative security measures25%

    Support Ukraine's membership25%

    Increase to over 100,00025%

    Complete withdrawal25%

    Decrease to below 50,00025%

    Remain around 80,00025%

    Membership denied25%

    Membership granted25%

    Membership delayed25%

    No change25%

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