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What will be the position of major NATO signatories on Ukraine's membership by June 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Support Ukraine's membership • 25%
Propose alternative security measures • 25%
Oppose Ukraine's membership • 25%
No clear position • 25%
Statements from the US, UK, and other major NATO signatories
Story
Ukraine Rejects NATO Alternatives on 30th Anniversary of Budapest Memorandum
Dec 3, 2024, 10:24 AM
On the 30th anniversary of the Budapest Memorandum, Ukraine has officially rejected any security guarantees short of full NATO membership, according to the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The ministry emphasized that only NATO membership can provide the necessary security to deter Russian aggression, highlighting the failure of the Budapest Memorandum to ensure Ukraine's safety. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha brought the document to NATO headquarters to underscore this point. Despite Ukraine's push for NATO membership, NATO foreign ministers are expected to rebuff Kyiv's request for progress on joining the alliance ahead of Donald Trump's return to the US presidency. Ukraine's stance is that NATO membership is the only 'real guarantee' for its security, and the country has urged NATO signatories, including the US and UK, to provide clear, binding security guarantees in light of Russia’s aggression.
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Majority Support • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Divided Opinions • 25%
No Official Position • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Majority in favor • 25%
Majority against • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Majority support with consensus • 25%
Majority support but no consensus • 25%
Minority support • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Ukraine receives full membership • 25%
Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%
Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%
No progress on membership • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Pending • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Request for additional steps • 25%
Formal invitation • 25%
Rejection • 25%
No decision • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership process started • 25%
No progress • 25%
Ukraine withdraws application • 25%
Full Membership • 25%
Membership Action Plan • 25%
Partnership for Peace • 25%
No Change • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Membership application pending • 25%
Membership application rejected • 25%
No application • 25%