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What changes will NATO make to its operational strategy by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant strategic changes • 25%
Minor strategic changes • 25%
No strategic changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
NATO official strategy documents or announcements detailing strategic changes
Story
Trump Threatens NATO Exit Over Unpaid Bills, Hints at Ukraine Aid Cut
Dec 8, 2024, 06:31 PM
Former President Donald Trump has stated that he would consider withdrawing the United States from NATO if other member countries fail to meet their financial obligations and treat the U.S. fairly. In an interview with NBC's "Meet the Press," Trump remarked, "If they're paying their bills and if I think they're treating us fairly, the answer is absolutely—I'd stay with NATO." He also suggested the possibility of reducing aid to Ukraine and emphasized the need to restructure unfair trade agreements with the U.S.
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Enhanced cyber defense capabilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened alliances with non-NATO countries • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Shift to counterterrorism • 25%
Increased focus on Russia • 25%
Emphasis on cyber defense • 25%
Other strategic shifts • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Naval expansion • 25%
Ground forces enhancement • 25%
Air and missile defense • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Policy weakens • 25%
Policy strengthens • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Focus on technology and innovation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
Strengthened alliances with non-NATO countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Military buildup • 25%
Defense spending • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Hybrid warfare • 25%
Nuclear deterrence • 25%
Conventional military readiness • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Deployment of additional resources • 25%
Increased monitoring • 25%