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What will be NATO's position on Ukraine's membership by the end of 2025?
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Russia•European•Ukraine•Sergei Lavrov•American•Lavrov•Donald Trump•NATO•British•French•Emmanuel Macron•Polish•Donald Tusk•Kremlin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Membership granted • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
No change • 25%
Official NATO statements or documents
Story
Russia Opposes European Peacekeeping Force in Ukraine, Criticizes Trump's Proposals
Dec 30, 2024, 10:50 AM
Russia has expressed opposition to the potential deployment of a European peacekeeping force in Ukraine, as stated by Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. This stance comes amid discussions by European and American leaders about post-conflict scenarios in Ukraine, following nearly three years of conflict. Lavrov criticized proposals from representatives of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, which include delaying Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and deploying a peacekeeping contingent composed of British and European forces. The idea of deploying European troops along the 1,000 km front line in Ukraine was discussed by French President Emmanuel Macron and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk in mid-December. The Kremlin has previously indicated that it is premature to discuss peacekeepers, reflecting ongoing tensions and differing views on peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
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No significant change • 25%
Pending • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Other status • 25%
No progress • 25%
No progress on membership • 25%
Ukraine receives full membership • 25%
Membership invitation issued but not finalized • 25%
Membership negotiations ongoing • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Majority in favor • 25%
Majority against • 25%
NATO accelerates membership • 25%
NATO delays membership • 25%
NATO withdraws offer • 25%
NATO maintains current stance • 25%
No clear position • 25%
Oppose Ukraine's membership • 25%
Propose alternative security measures • 25%
Support Ukraine's membership • 25%
Formal invitation extended • 25%
No official response • 25%
Rejection of membership request • 25%
Alternative security guarantees offered • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Decision postponed • 25%
Invitation denied • 25%
Other • 25%
Invitation granted • 25%