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Market
Public opinion on U.S. NATO membership by end of 2025
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support staying • 25%
Majority support leaving • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Major public opinion polls or surveys conducted by reputable organizations
Story
Trump Threatens U.S. Exit from NATO Unless Allies Increase Financial Contributions, NBC News Reports
Dec 8, 2024, 02:51 PM
In a recent interview with NBC News, Donald Trump stated that the United States would consider withdrawing from NATO unless allied nations increase their financial contributions. Trump emphasized that if the allies are fulfilling their financial obligations and treating the U.S. fairly, he would remain committed to NATO. His comments reflect a growing concern over the financial disparities within the alliance, as Trump has previously criticized NATO members for not meeting their defense spending commitments. The remarks have raised alarms about the future of U.S. involvement in NATO amid ongoing global security challenges.
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Other outcomes • 25%
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Agreement on increased contributions • 25%
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U.S. threatens withdrawal • 25%
NATO restructuring proposed • 25%
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