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What changes will occur in U.S. foreign policy toward NATO and Ukraine by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
Official U.S. government policy announcements or credible news sources reporting on policy changes
Story
Trump Considers U.S. NATO Exit and Ukraine Aid Reduction
Dec 8, 2024, 04:41 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he would consider withdrawing the United States from NATO and reducing aid to Ukraine, according to statements made during an interview on NBC's 'Meet The Press'. Trump's comments suggest a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy, which could have significant implications for international alliances and support for Ukraine amid ongoing conflicts.
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Increased support • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New strategic direction • 25%
US expelled from NATO • 25%
NATO sanctions US • 25%
US policy unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Maintain current stance • 33%
Increase support for Ukraine • 33%
Decrease support for Ukraine • 33%
Increased support for Ukraine • 25%
Decreased support for Ukraine • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Stronger NATO support • 25%
Weaker NATO support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Increased support • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains outside NATO with increased cooperation • 25%
Ukraine receives no further NATO support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Other • 25%
Pro-Ukraine stance • 25%
Pro-Russia stance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other stances • 25%