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What will be the status of Assad regime remnants in Syria by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete collapse • 25%
Reduced to minor factions • 25%
Continues to hold some territories • 25%
Regains significant power • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and statements from Syrian opposition groups
Story
IDF Advances into Quneitra to Fortify Buffer Zone, Targets Chemical Facilities
Dec 8, 2024, 04:17 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have launched an operation to fortify the buffer zone along the Israel-Syria border in the Quneitra region, following the fall of the Assad regime in Syria. The IDF has advanced into the demilitarized zone, deploying tanks and establishing checkpoints in the Golan Heights to strengthen border defenses and prevent potential attacks from Syrian rebels. This move comes as a precautionary measure to secure the border amid regional instability. Schools in four Druze settlements in the Golan Heights have been closed as a precaution, and reports suggest that the IDF targeted chemical weapon facilities in Syria.
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Regime overthrown • 25%
Civil war continues • 25%
Regime transitions to new leadership • 25%
Regime remains in power • 25%
Regime change without Assad stepping down • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down • 25%
Civil war intensifies • 25%
Collapsed • 25%
Transition of Power • 25%
Under Siege • 25%
Stable • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains in power • 25%
Opposition leader takes power • 25%
New leader from Assad's party • 25%
Interim government • 25%
New sectarian government formed • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
Non-sectarian government established • 25%
Current government remains • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Decreased territorial control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Loss of major cities • 25%
Other • 25%
Still in power • 25%
In exile • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Regains full control • 25%
Loses significant territory • 25%
Regime collapse • 25%
Maintains current control • 25%
Resigned voluntarily • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Assad is exiled • 25%
Assad is overthrown • 25%
Assad steps down voluntarily • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad is ousted • 25%
Assad resigns • 25%
Power transition to a new government • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Seeks political role in another country • 25%
Returns to political role in Syria • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%