Loading...
Market
What will be Assad's status in Syria by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Still in power • 25%
In exile • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Syrian government or credible news reports
Story
Assad Seeks U.S. Support, Offers to Cut Ties with Iran, Hezbollah Amid Opposition Pressure
Dec 7, 2024, 07:22 PM
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has reportedly reached out to the United States through back-channels in the United Arab Emirates, offering to sever all ties with Iran and Hezbollah. This proposal comes with the condition that the U.S. and Western countries assist Assad in remaining in power or ensuring his safe exit. Bloomberg reports, citing informed sources, that Assad is seeking an agreement that would either allow him to retain control over the remaining areas under his authority or secure his safe exile if necessary. The offer was made amidst increasing pressure from opposition forces entering Damascus, signaling Assad's desperation to negotiate a deal.
View original story
Similar markets
Regime remains in power • 25%
Regime overthrown • 25%
Regime transitions to new leadership • 25%
Civil war continues • 25%
In Russia under asylum • 25%
Extradited to another country • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Resigned voluntarily • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%
Returns to political role in Syria • 25%
Seeks political role in another country • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad resigns • 25%
Assad is ousted • 25%
Power transition to a new government • 25%
Maintain influence • 25%
No political role • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Imprisoned • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Resigned • 25%
Ousted • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down • 25%
Regime change without Assad stepping down • 25%
Civil war intensifies • 25%
Stable • 25%
Under Siege • 25%
Collapsed • 25%
Transition of Power • 25%
Non-sectarian government established • 25%
Current government remains • 25%
New sectarian government formed • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
