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What will be the status of the Assad regime in Syria by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Regime remains in power • 25%
Regime overthrown • 25%
Regime transitions to new leadership • 25%
Civil war continues • 25%
International news agencies and official government statements
Story
Pentagon Reveals 2,000 U.S. Troops in Syria on Temporary Basis to Defeat ISIS
Dec 19, 2024, 08:07 PM
The Pentagon has disclosed that the number of U.S. troops in Syria has increased to approximately 2,000, more than double the previously reported figure of 900. Pentagon Press Secretary Major General Pat Ryder clarified that the additional 1,100 troops are on a temporary rotational basis, supplementing the core presence of around 900 troops. These forces are focused on the ongoing mission to defeat ISIS, which is part of the Combined Joint Task Force Operation Inherent Resolve (CJTF-OIR). The deployment of these additional troops occurred before the fall of the Assad regime, according to the Pentagon.
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Still in power • 25%
Other • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
In exile • 25%
Current government remains • 25%
Non-sectarian government established • 25%
New sectarian government formed • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
Regime change without Assad stepping down • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down • 25%
Civil war intensifies • 25%
Resigned voluntarily • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Stable • 25%
Under Siege • 25%
Transition of Power • 25%
Collapsed • 25%
In Russia under asylum • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Extradited to another country • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
Reduced to minor factions • 25%
Complete collapse • 25%
Regains significant power • 25%
Continues to hold some territories • 25%
Imprisoned • 25%
Maintain influence • 25%
No political role • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Regime collapse • 25%
Loses significant territory • 25%
Maintains current control • 25%
Regains full control • 25%
Government retains partial control • 25%
Government control unchanged • 25%
Government regains full control • 25%
Government loses control • 25%
Stable government established • 25%
Other • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Ongoing civil unrest • 25%
Power transition to a new government • 25%
Assad is ousted • 25%
Assad resigns • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%