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Market
How will TikTok's U.S. user base react if banned after January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Social media trends and user activity reports
Story
TikTok Appeals to Supreme Court to Block U.S. Ban by Jan. 19, Amid Trump's Support
Dec 17, 2024, 05:47 PM
TikTok has filed an emergency application with the U.S. Supreme Court to block a federal law that mandates the app's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest its holdings by January 19, 2025, or face a ban in the U.S. The company argues that the law violates the First Amendment and would affect its 170 million American users. Amidst this legal battle, President-elect Donald Trump met with TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew at Mar-a-Lago, signaling a potential openness to stopping the ban. Trump has expressed a 'warm spot' for TikTok, citing its role in his recent election success among young voters. The law, passed by Congress in April, stems from concerns over national security risks posed by TikTok's data collection and potential content manipulation by the Chinese government. A federal appeals court upheld the law earlier this month, rejecting TikTok's First Amendment claims.
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Similar markets
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Other response • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban temporarily suspended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Relocate headquarters • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No significant action • 25%