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Market
What will be the response of TikTok users if the ban is enforced by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Other response • 25%
Surveys, social media analysis, and news reports
Story
DOJ Urges Court to Reject TikTok's Bid to Block U.S. Ban, Citing National Security
Dec 13, 2024, 03:15 AM
The Department of Justice (DOJ) has asked a U.S. appeals court to reject TikTok's effort to block a law that would force the company to divest from its Chinese-based parent company, ByteDance, or face a ban in the U.S. on January 19, 2025. The law, signed by President Joe Biden, aims to address national security concerns related to data collection and potential content manipulation by the Chinese government. TikTok has filed an emergency motion to halt the ban, arguing that a small delay would not cause serious national security concerns. The DOJ contends that the continued control of TikTok by ByteDance poses a significant threat to national security. Despite President-elect Donald Trump's campaign promise not to support a TikTok ban, the company has expressed its intent to appeal the decision, citing the platform's popularity and its role as a major speech platform in the U.S.
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Similar markets
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Relocate headquarters • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Support the ban • 25%
Oppose the ban • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
No statement • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Compliance • 25%
Negotiation • 25%
No response • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Remove TikTok • 33%
Keep TikTok • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%
New safety features • 25%
No changes announced • 25%
Legal challenge against the ban • 25%
Partnerships with NGOs for safety • 25%
Majority support the ban • 25%
Majority oppose the ban • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%